Cleus
Start free
  1. Cleus
  2. Predictions
  3. Crypto
  4. Live

Ethereum price on November 15?

Odds right now: 1,900-2,000 63%, 1,800-1,900 27%, 2,000-2,100 8%.

1,900-2,000:Polymarket 63%Options fair value 65%
CryptoEnds in 42 h$17K traded$12K in 24h$193K liquidity
OutcomeMarketCleusOptions
1,900-2,000
63%—65%+2 pts
1,800-1,900
27%—31%+4 pts
2,000-2,100
8%—13%+5 pts
<1,800
2%——
2,100-2,200
1%—3%+2 pts
2,200-2,300
<1%—2%
2,600-2,700
<1%—<1%
2,300-2,400
<1%—<1%
2,400-2,500
<1%—<1%
2,500-2,600
<1%—<1%
>2,700
<1%——
Same question, other markets
OutcomePolymarketOptions
1,900-2,00063%65%+2
1,800-1,90027%31%+4
2,000-2,1008%13%+5
2,100-2,2001%3%+2
2,200-2,300<1%2%
2,600-2,700<1%<1%
2,300-2,400<1%<1%
2,400-2,500<1%<1%
2,500-2,600<1%<1%

Matched by Cleus on the exact question, date and line. Average is the real-money markets only; Manifold uses play money. Polymarket ↗

Price history
0%41%82%Nov 8Nov 13
1,900-2,000 66%1,800-1,900 23%2,000-2,100 8%<1,800 2%
Where the money sits
>2,700$16K
<1,800$16K
2,000-2,100$13K
2,200-2,300$12K
2,600-2,700$12K
1,800-1,900$11K
2,100-2,200$10K
2,500-2,600$10.0K

Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.

Order book
OutcomeSpreadBuy to +2¢Sell to −2¢
1,900-2,0004.0¢$2.0K$2.0K
1,800-1,9005.5¢$1.1K$246
2,000-2,1002.0¢$308$207
<1,8001.3¢$116$77
2,100-2,2000.1¢$35$6
2,200-2,3001.0¢$39$9

How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.

Research this in CleusSee it on Polymarket ↗
Cleus’s read

Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…

Usually 15–40 seconds.

Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.

Deep researchPremium

A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.

What’s going on

Ethereum price on November 15: the story so far

Updated November 13, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC from live market data.

As of November 13, 2026, Polymarket traders see 1,900-2,000 as the most likely outcome at 63%, ahead of 1,800-1,900 (27%) and 2,000-2,100 (8%). 11 outcomes are trading in all. 1,900-2,000 has risen 19 points since November 8, from 47% to 66%, after peaking at 72% on November 13. 1,800-1,900 has fallen 24 points since November 8, from 47% to 23%. In the last 24 hours 1,900-2,000 gained 28 points.

Options markets imply a fair value of 65% for 1,900-2,000.

$17K has been traded on this event, $12K of it in the last 24 hours, and $193K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “1,900-2,000”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have nearly all of their money on Yes.

Trading is scheduled to end on November 15, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Smart money

Which side the winners are on

The top holders of “1,900-2,000”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 11 of them have made $25K+.

Wallets with $25K+ all-time profit ($1.0K held)
Yes 98%2% No
All top holders ($1.8K held)
Yes 66%34% No

When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.

HolderHoldsAll-time P&L
0x17db…c1e8 No$509−$24K
0xa19c…de6b Yes$343$1.2M
0x6fd0…a85b Yes$317$49K
0x06dc…4524 Yes$225$1.2M
0xa6d1…bd47 Yes$103−$1.3K
0x4aba…f791 Yes$81$11K
0xab15…46e5 Yes$58$104K
0xdb5a…3965 Yes$53$202K
0x853f…7777 No$35−$1.0K
0x06dc…4524 No$18$1.2M
Unusual bets

Big bets in this market that stand out

Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.

Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.

Rules

How it actually resolves

The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.

Resolution source: www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT

Full rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Ask Cleus about this market

Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.

Analysis, not financial advice. Prediction markets can lose you money. Free: 3 questions a day.

Uncensored · unbiased

Want the why? Ask Cleus — it actually answers.

Straight probabilities on wars, elections, the Fed and crypto, with sources — no refusals, no lectures.

Research this market in CleusTry Cleus free

More crypto markets

All crypto odds → · The full terminal →

Questions

What are the odds of Ethereum price on November 15?

On Polymarket, 1,900-2,000 is trading at 63%. Other outcomes: 1,900-2,000 63%, 1,800-1,900 27%, 2,000-2,100 8%. Prices update live.

What’s going on with Ethereum price on November 15?

As of November 13, 2026, Polymarket traders see 1,900-2,000 as the most likely outcome at 63%, ahead of 1,800-1,900 (27%) and 2,000-2,100 (8%). 11 outcomes are trading in all. 1,900-2,000 has risen 19 points since November 8, from 47% to 66%, after peaking at 72% on November 13. 1,800-1,900 has fallen 24 points since November 8, from 47% to 23%. In the last 24 hours 1,900-2,000 gained 28 points.

When does this market end?

It is scheduled to end on November 15, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.

What does Cleus predict?

Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.

Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.