Cleus
Start free
  1. Cleus
  2. Predictions
  3. Crypto
  4. Live

Ethereum price on November 11?

Odds right now: 2,000-2,100 85%, 2,100-2,200 9%, <2,000 6%.

2,000-2,100:Polymarket 85%Options fair value 92%
CryptoEnds in 5 h$14K traded$8.4K in 24h$156K liquidity
OutcomeMarketCleusOptions
2,000-2,100
85%—92%+7 pts
2,100-2,200
9%—6%−2 pts
<2,000
6%——
2,200-2,300
1%—<1%
2,300-2,400
<1%—<1%
2,400-2,500
<1%—<1%
2,500-2,600
<1%—<1%
2,600-2,700
<1%—<1%
2,700-2,800
<1%—<1%
2,800-2,900
<1%—<1%
>2,900
<1%——
Same question, other markets
OutcomePolymarketOptions
2,000-2,10085%92%+7
2,100-2,2009%6%−2
2,200-2,3001%<1%
2,300-2,400<1%<1%
2,400-2,500<1%<1%
2,500-2,600<1%<1%
2,600-2,700<1%<1%
2,700-2,800<1%<1%
2,800-2,900<1%<1%

Matched by Cleus on the exact question, date and line. Average is the real-money markets only; Manifold uses play money. Polymarket ↗

Price history
0%49%98%Nov 4Nov 11
2,000-2,100 85%2,100-2,200 8%<2,000 6%2,200-2,300 <1%
Where the money sits
>2,900$23K
2,800-2,900$22K
2,700-2,800$21K
<2,000$21K
2,600-2,700$16K
2,000-2,100$15K
2,100-2,200$15K
2,200-2,300$15K

Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.

Order book
OutcomeSpreadBuy to +2¢Sell to −2¢
2,000-2,1002.1¢$483$119
2,100-2,2002.0¢$255$51
<2,0002.2¢$319$49
2,200-2,3000.8¢$44$2

How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.

Research this in CleusSee it on Polymarket ↗
Cleus’s read

Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…

Usually 15–40 seconds.

Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.

Deep researchPremium

A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.

What’s going on

Ethereum price on November 11: the story so far

Updated November 11, 2026 at 11:49 AM UTC from live market data.

As of November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders see 2,000-2,100 as the most likely outcome at 85%, ahead of 2,100-2,200 (9%) and <2,000 (6%). 11 outcomes are trading in all. 2,000-2,100 has risen 38 points since November 4, from 47% to 85%. 2,100-2,200 has fallen 39 points since November 4, from 47% to 8%, after peaking at 50% on November 10. In the last 24 hours 2,000-2,100 gained 44 points.

Options markets imply a fair value of 92% for 2,000-2,100.

$14K has been traded on this event, $8.4K of it in the last 24 hours, and $156K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “2,000-2,100”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 94% of their money on Yes.

Trading is scheduled to end on November 11, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Smart money

Which side the winners are on

The top holders of “2,000-2,100”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 10 of them have made $25K+.

Wallets with $25K+ all-time profit ($2.7K held)
Yes 94%6% No
All top holders ($3.0K held)
Yes 85%15% No

When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.

HolderHoldsAll-time P&L
0x06dc…4524 Yes$2.5K$1.1M
0x7021…b9bc No$230−$966
0xdb5a…3965 No$82$192K
0x39aa…583c No$68$80K
0x06dc…4524 No$14$1.1M
0x6fd0…a85b No$10$45K
0x5a21…9318 Yes$9$1.1M
0x4aba…f791 No$9$11K
0x9116…740b Yes$7−$4.9K
0x6186…9bfe Yes$6$55
Unusual bets

Big bets in this market that stand out

Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.

Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.

Rules

How it actually resolves

The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.

Resolution source: www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT

Full rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Ask Cleus about this market

Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.

Analysis, not financial advice. Prediction markets can lose you money. Free: 3 questions a day.

Uncensored · unbiased

Want the why? Ask Cleus — it actually answers.

Straight probabilities on wars, elections, the Fed and crypto, with sources — no refusals, no lectures.

Research this market in CleusTry Cleus free

More crypto markets

All crypto odds → · The full terminal →

Questions

What are the odds of Ethereum price on November 11?

On Polymarket, 2,000-2,100 is trading at 85%. Other outcomes: 2,000-2,100 85%, 2,100-2,200 9%, <2,000 6%. Prices update live.

What’s going on with Ethereum price on November 11?

As of November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders see 2,000-2,100 as the most likely outcome at 85%, ahead of 2,100-2,200 (9%) and <2,000 (6%). 11 outcomes are trading in all. 2,000-2,100 has risen 38 points since November 4, from 47% to 85%. 2,100-2,200 has fallen 39 points since November 4, from 47% to 8%, after peaking at 50% on November 10. In the last 24 hours 2,000-2,100 gained 44 points.

When does this market end?

It is scheduled to end on November 11, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.

What does Cleus predict?

Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.

Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.